NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400
For first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s searching for his fourth win of this year along with also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances give him a 9-4 opportunity to receive it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other top contenders at this .75-mile brief track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. Now, his version mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we can tell you the version is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has revealed the speed required to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway after which fought last week in Bristol, ending 17th. In his profession, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five only three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The version can also be targeting two additional motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.
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